Due to the potential impact on markets and international relations, the United States Presidential Election 2024 in November is expected to attract attention from around the world. Voters will also choose representatives for Congress, whose legislative decisions impact important subjects like national security and healthcare, in addition to the presidential election. The Republican and Democratic parties will choose their presidential candidates through primary elections and state caucuses to allow party members to express their views.
Candidates fight hard to get delegates for their candidacy, making this selection process potentially tense. As the election approaches, candidates will enhance their strategies to attract voters. Voter turnout will be crucial since more people voting can greatly impact the outcome. Continue reading to find out more about the US Election Prediction 2024.
US Election Prediction 2024
Donald Trump will run against Kamala Harris in the 2024 presidential election after a challenging campaign marked by political intrigue and scrutiny. Trump, who has a lot of Republican backing, wants to return to the White House after leaving in 2021. Pressure from party officials and a negative debate against Trump that sparked doubts about his candidacy caused President Joe Biden to abruptly withdraw from the race.
As the election on November 5, 2024, gets underway, both candidates are stepping up their campaigning. While Harris emphasises her administration’s accomplishments and progressive initiatives on social justice and climate change, Trump is concentrating on important subjects like immigration and the economy. According to US Election Prediction 2024, both candidates are fighting in neck to neck competition for elections. In a crucial election that will determine the future of the nation amidst political disagreement, the victor will assume office on January 20, 2025. Additionally, voters will choose representatives to Congress, which will affect the legislative agenda and the capacity of the future president to lead.
United States Presidential Election 2024
| Event | United States Presidential Election 2024 |
| Candidates | Donald Trump And Kamala Harris |
| Country | The USA |
| Election Date | November 5, 2024 |
| Office Allotment to the Winner | January 20, 2025 |
| Result Timings | 7 PM Local Time |
| Category | News |
US Election Prediction 2024 : National Polls Leader
- The first few weeks of Harris’ campaign saw an improvement in her polling ratings, and by the end of August, she was ahead by roughly four percentage points.
- Even though approximately 70 million people watched the sole discussion between the two candidates on September 10th, the numbers have remained largely unchanged since early September.
- Although these national polls can be a helpful indicator of a candidate’s level of support nationwide, they are not always a reliable indicator of the election’s outcome.
- This is due to the electoral college system used in the United States, which allows votes to states based on their population size.
- There are only a few states in the US where both candidates have a chance of winning, although most of them almost invariably vote for the same party.
Who Will Win US President Elections 2024
- According to polling averages, neither candidate has a significant lead in any of the seven states that are predicted to be fields of battle in this election.
- Since the beginning of August, the lead in Arizona, Georgia, and North Carolina has switched hands a few times, but Trump has maintained a slim lead for a few weeks. Similar circumstances exist in Nevada, where Harris has been marginally ahead of the field.
- Since early August, Harris has led in Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, occasionally by two or three points. But the polls have been getting closer in recent days, and Trump now leads Pennsylvania by a very narrow margin.
- Before Trump turned all three of those states red during his 2016 presidential campaign, they had all been Democratic strongholds.
| Provinces | Margin of Lead |
| Michigan (15 Electoral Votes) | Harris <1 |
| Nevada (6) | Harris <1 |
| Pennsylvania (19) | Trump <1 |
| Wisconsin (10) | Harris <1 |
| North Carolina (16) | Trump <1 |
| Georgia (16) | Trump +2 |
| Arizona (11) | Trump +2 |
Who Will Win the US President Elections 2024?
- According to current polls, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are within a few percentage points of one another in each of the swing states.
- Trump’s popularity was understated in polls in both 2016 and 2020. In order to address that issue, polling firms will be looking for ways to ensure that their findings accurately represent the demographics of the electorate.
- Analysts still have to make informed assumptions about other factors, such as who will show up to vote on November 5, and those changes are hard to get right.
Outcome Of US Presidential Election Prediction 2024
- According to Election Betting Odds, which compiles information from the major markets, Trump has a 57% chance, up from roughly 48% at the end of September and the biggest margin in his favour since July 29.
- This pattern is also seen at other betting sites – Smarkets, Kalshi, and Betfair all offer Trump about 58%, 57%, and 58% odds of winning, respectively.
- The chances have changed dramatically on Polymarket, where Trump now has a 60% chance of winning to Harris’s 40%.
- According to a source cited by Reuters, four accounts have contributed to this change by placing wagers totalling over $30 million.
- This has prompted social media users and political analysts to wonder if certain well-known Americans could have an impact on these wagering patterns.